The S&P 500 Index experienced both a new all-time high and its worst down day of the year last week. For the week, the S&P 500 Index was -1.6%, the Dow Jones Industrials -2.5%, and the NASDAQ -2.2%. The S&P 500 Index was led by the Utility, Health Care, and Energy sectors, while the …
Information Flow
Equity markets rebounded last week as investors continue to absorb new information on the economy, government spending, and proposed tariffs at rapid speed. For the week, the S&P 500 Index was +1.5%, the Dow Jones Industrials +0.6%, and the NASDAQ +2.5%. The S&P 500 Index was led by the Technology, Communication Services, and Consumer …
Love in the Time of Tariffs
Mexico and Canada made border security concessions to avoid tariffs going into effect, but more tariff proposals may be looming for other countries. For the week, the S&P 500 Index was -0.2%, the Dow Jones Industrials -0.5%, and the NASDAQ +0.1%. The S&P 500 Index was led by the Consumer Staples, Real Estate, and …
Roaring into the 20’s
Barring any significant disruption happening over the next two days, the equity market will be closing 2019 at, or near, record highs. Many of the worries from a year ago, such as global trade and a hawkish Federal Reserve, have dissipated. Consumer spending has been a key component of economic growth for the year. …
Christmas Market
The stock market continues to grind higher driven by favorable progress on trade between both U.S.-China and U.S.-Mexico-Canada (USMCA). China appears to be accommodative to reducing tariffs and the U.S. is reciprocating. The key issues of intellectual property protections and further opening of China’s financial sector should take longer to work out. Trade should …
Trade Progress
The stock market finished the week higher and hit all-time highs after a US-China trade deal was agreed upon. The agreement, known as a phase-one deal, averted new tariffs on $160 Billion of consumer goods set to start on December 15th. The agreement also reduced some current tariffs, with China agreeing to increase purchases …
Working
The stock market struggled most of the week but staged a comeback rally on Friday on the better than expected employment report for November. The Labor Department reported nonfarm payrolls increased by 266,000 in November, well above expectations of 180,000. The unemployment rate also declined from 3.6% to 3.5%. This marks the 21st consecutive …
Positive GDP Surprise
The advance report on First Quarter U.S. Gross Domestic Product (“GDP”) was reported at +3.2%. This was an upside surprise to the 2% widely anticipated by most economists. Part of the surprise was in net trade (exports versus imports) which was refreshing to see given the concern over the U.S.—China trade standoff. Personal consumption …
A Positive Start to Quarterly Earnings
Earnings reports have been a positive surprise so far. For the S&P 500, 77 out of 500 companies have reported with 78% beating expectations, 5% matching and 17% below expectations. The 48 company earnings reports from the past week have raised the combined (reported and estimated) earnings growth for the quarter from -2.3% to …
More Earnings on the Way
The S&P 500 Index had a muted week but then generated some excitement on Friday with earnings from banks such as JP Morgan and Wells Fargo, an energy sector merger announcement with Chevron and Anadarko Petroleum, and Disney’s announcement of its direct-to-consumer media service. The S&P 500 Index closed the week +0.5% higher. The …