A double-shot of positive news lifted major market averages last week. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell reinforced his supportive posture to keep the U.S. economy growing and the White House announced President Trump and President Xi of China would meet during the G20 meeting in Japan at the end of this week. Both announcements supported …
The major market averages posted a second consecutive positive weekly return. With the lull between corporate earnings season, most movement came from macroeconomic data, politics, and some company commentary at investor conferences. Investors will have two big events to focus on for the balance of the month with the Federal Reserve meeting on June …
Continue reading “Will Key Meetings Satisfy Investor Expectations?”
Equities rallied last week as moderating economic data and Dovish comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell led investors to the conclusion that a short-term interest rate cut is on the horizon. The Fed Chairman’s speech on June 4th indicated the Fed would take appropriate action to maintain expansion of the economy in the …
Investors were surprised late last week by the announcement that the U.S. would impose a 5% tariff on all goods imported from Mexico and gradually increase them until the flow of illegal immigrants stopped. The economic and political uncertainty of this policy added to the uncertainty currently in the market from the U.S.—China trade …
Despite increased tensions with Iran and the start of the summer driving season, crude oil had its steepest decline since the late December lows, down 6.6% for the week. The equity markets also extended their recent decline with most averages adding to multi-week declines. As a follow-up to last week’s comments on the American …
A breakdown in US – China trade talks and some saber rattling with Iran dominated headlines this past week. Investors appear to be growing weary of the headline noise, especially with China. The thought that a conclusion to China trade is no longer a “done deal” is inserting some pessimism into investors’ psyche. This …
U.S.-China Trade dominated the headlines last week. As trade talks stalled, the U.S. increased the previously announced tariffs on Chinese goods from 10% to 25%. The U.S. is also investigating options for tariffs on an additional $300 billion of Chinese-made goods not currently under tariffs. The Chinese Vice Premier spent last week in the …
The Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee (“FOMC”) held short-term interest rates steady this week. As mentioned in last week’s Commentary, the Fed’s mandate is to promote maximum employment, stable prices, and moderate long-term interest rates. The Fed’s current inflation target is 2% and inflation is currently below that level. This past Friday’s Employment …
The advance report on First Quarter U.S. Gross Domestic Product (“GDP”) was reported at +3.2%. This was an upside surprise to the 2% widely anticipated by most economists. Part of the surprise was in net trade (exports versus imports) which was refreshing to see given the concern over the U.S.—China trade standoff. Personal consumption …
Earnings reports have been a positive surprise so far. For the S&P 500, 77 out of 500 companies have reported with 78% beating expectations, 5% matching and 17% below expectations. The 48 company earnings reports from the past week have raised the combined (reported and estimated) earnings growth for the quarter from -2.3% to …
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