Open Government

October 2, 2023

  The U.S. government avoided an October 1st shutdown but legislators were only able to agree on a 45-day extension. The weekly return for the S&P 500 Index was -0.7%, the Dow was -1.3%, and the NASDAQ was +0.1%. The Energy, Materials, and Consumer Discretionary sectors were the only positive sectors in the S&P 500 …

Energy Jolt

September 18, 2023

  Stocks were mixed last week. The weekly return for the S&P 500 Index was -0.1%, the Dow was +0.1%, and the NASDAQ was -0.5%. The Utility, Consumer Discretionary, and Financial sectors led the market. The Technology, Industrial, and Materials sectors lagged. The 10-year U.S. Treasury note yield increased to 4.322% at Friday’s close versus …

Back to Business

September 11, 2023

  Stocks declined during the holiday-shorted week. The weekly return for the S&P 500 Index was -1.3%, the Dow was -0.7%, and the NASDAQ was -1.4%. The Energy and Utility sectors posted gains for the week. All other sectors were negative, led by the Industrial, Materials and Technology sectors. The 10-year U.S. Treasury note yield …

Bad News is Good News

September 5, 2023

  Stocks gained last week after a downward revision to second quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth and a moderating job market report. The weekly return for the S&P 500 Index was +2.5%, the Dow was +1.6%, and the NASDAQ was +3.7%. The Technology, Materials, and Energy sectors led the market. The Utilities and Consumer …

Holding the Line

August 28, 2023

  Stocks were mixed last week as the corporate earnings season winds down and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell held the line on being steadfast on inflation in his remarks at Jackson Hole. The weekly return for the S&P 500 Index was +0.8%, the Dow was -0.4%, and the NASDAQ was +1.7%. The Technology and Consumer …

China Concerns

August 21, 2023

  Rising bond yields in the U.S. and concern of contagion from a weakening Chinese economy sent stocks lower last week. The weekly return for the S&P 500 Index was -2.1%, the Dow was -2.1%, and the NASDAQ was -2.2%. All sectors in the S&P 500 Index declined. The Technology and Energy sectors declined the …

Earnings Matter

February 17, 2020

  Despite concerns over impact of the coronavirus, the equity markets staged a recovery back toward record levels last week. We believe the significant story here is corporate earnings. With 387 companies in the S&P 500 Index having reported fourth quarter 2019 earnings, 72% have exceeded expectations, 10% have been in-line and 19% have been …

Gone Viral

January 27, 2020

  The enthusiasm from the Phase One U.S. – China trade agreement was quickly tempered as fear of the economic impact of the Coronavirus on global growth seeped into the markets. Major market averages saw their first weekly decline for the year. Despite the headline health scare, corporate earnings reporting season rolls on. With 85 …

Phase One Trade Agreement Signed

January 20, 2020

  A good start to the fourth quarter earnings reporting season and the signing of the Phase One trade agreement between the U.S. and China combined to maintain positive equity market momentum this past week. With 44 companies having reported fourth quarter earnings, 70% have exceeded expectations, 7% have reported in-line, and 23% have reported …

Focus Returns to Corporate Earnings

January 13, 2020

  After a short period of volatility surrounding U.S.—Iran tensions, the market continued its current climb once investors assessed that the situation was deescalating. Geopolitical tensions aside, investors can return their focus to company fundamentals this week as the fourth quarter corporate earnings season kicks off. Twenty-six companies in the S&P 500 Index are scheduled …

Earnings Take Center Stage

July 15, 2019

  Second quarter earnings season takes center stage this week as 56 companies in the S&P 500 Index are scheduled to report earnings results. Most major banks will report earnings and we can see how they are navigating the current interest rate environment. Several industrial companies will also report earnings results and we can get …

Balancing Act

July 8, 2019

  An upside surprise to the June employment report last week tempered expectations that the Federal Reserve would be reducing short-term interest rate at the July FOMC meeting. The Labor Department reported that Non-Farm Payrolls increased by 224,000 in June versus an expectation of 160,000. This was a sharp reversal from May’s disappointing jobs report …

Pax Pacifica?

July 1, 2019

  U.S. President Trump and President Xi of China met during the G20 meeting in Japan this week and agreed to restart trade talks between the two countries. Tariffs remain on $250 billion of Chinese imports but no new tariffs will be put in place for the time being. There is no time table for …

The Dove and the Dragon

June 24, 2019

  A double-shot of positive news lifted major market averages last week. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell reinforced his supportive posture to keep the U.S. economy growing and the White House announced President Trump and President Xi of China would meet during the G20 meeting in Japan at the end of this week. Both announcements supported …

Animal Spirits on the Rise

June 10, 2019

  Equities rallied last week as moderating economic data and Dovish comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell led investors to the conclusion that a short-term interest rate cut is on the horizon. The Fed Chairman’s speech on June 4th indicated the Fed would take appropriate action to maintain expansion of the economy in the …

Trade War Heads South

June 3, 2019

  Investors were surprised late last week by the announcement that the U.S. would impose a 5% tariff on all goods imported from Mexico and gradually increase them until the flow of illegal immigrants stopped. The economic and political uncertainty of this policy added to the uncertainty currently in the market from the U.S.—China trade …

Hittin’ the Road

May 27, 2019

  Despite increased tensions with Iran and the start of the summer driving season, crude oil had its steepest decline since the late December lows, down 6.6% for the week. The equity markets also extended their recent decline with most averages adding to multi-week declines. As a follow-up to last week’s comments on the American …

Trade Worries Dominate Headlines

May 13, 2019

  U.S.-China Trade dominated the headlines last week. As trade talks stalled, the U.S. increased the previously announced tariffs on Chinese goods from 10% to 25%. The U.S. is also investigating options for tariffs on an additional $300 billion of Chinese-made goods not currently under tariffs. The Chinese Vice Premier spent last week in the …