The S&P 500 Index had its first back-to-back weekly gain since the end of March. The S&P 500 Index was +4.3% for the week, the Dow was +3.0%, and the NASDAQ was +4.5%. The 10-year U.S. Treasury note yield decreased to 2.642% at Friday’s close versus 2.781% the previous week. The market shrugged off …
Taking Stock
A refocus on corporate earnings across a broad set of industries boosted equity markets last week. The S&P 500 Index was +2.6% for the week, the Dow was +2.0%, and the NASDAQ was +3.4%. The 10-year U.S. Treasury note yield decreased to 2.781% at Friday’s close versus 2.930% the previous week. The next Federal …
Earnings Splash
The equity markets appeared to be headed for a dismal week following back-to-back inflationary Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) reports. Friday’s rally reduced most of the week’s decline. The S&P 500 Index was -0.9% for the week, the Dow was -0.2%, and the NASDAQ was -1.2%. The 10-year U.S. Treasury …
Earnings Horizon
The equity markets started the new quarter with a weekly increase. The S&P 500 Index was +2.0% for the week, the Dow was +0.8%, and the NASDAQ was +4.7%. The 10-year U.S. Treasury note yield increased to 3.101% at Friday’s close versus 2.904% the previous week. The labor market has been resilient. The June …
Halftime
The S&P 500 Index limped into the end of the quarter on Thursday, then staged a small, late-day rally on the first day of the new quarter ahead of the holiday weekend. The S&P 500 ended the week -2.2%, the Dow was -1.3%, and the NASDAQ was -4.3%. For the half-year ending June 30th, …
Super Market
The S&P 500 Index rallied last week as investors became more comfortable with the Fed’s plan to stem the pace of inflation. The S&P 500 ended the week +6.5%, the Dow was +5.4%, and the NASDAQ was +7.5%. The 10-year U.S. Treasury note yield decreased to 3.138% at Friday’s close versus 3.231% the previous …
Solstice
The S&P 500 Index fell again last week as the Federal Reserve continued to tighten monetary policy. The S&P 500 ended the week -5.7%, the Dow was -4.7%, and the NASDAQ was -4.8%. The 10-year U.S. Treasury note yield increased to 3.231% at Friday’s close versus 3.165% the previous week. The Federal Open Market …
Inflation Concerns Persist
The S&P 500 Index fell sharply to end the week. Investors went on the defensive after the May Consumer Price Index (CPI) reading indicated that most major categories of inflation have not slowed their ascent. The S&P 500 ended the week -5.0%, the Dow was -4.6%, and the NASDAQ was -5.7%. The 10-year U.S. …
Tightening
The S&P 500 Index had a small relapse last week after its big advance the week prior. The S&P 500 ended the week -1.2%, the Dow was -0.8%, and the NASDAQ was -1.0%. The 10-year U.S. Treasury note yield increased to 2.941% at Friday’s close versus 2.743% the previous week. As reflected in the …
Get Out of Town
The S&P 500 Index rallied back from an intra-day decline on Friday that had the Index temporarily down 20% from its peak. The S&P 500 ended the week -3.0%, the Dow was -2.8%, and the NASDAQ was -4.4%. The equity markets have declined for seven consecutive weeks amid concerns over the impact of rising …
Relief Rally
Despite Friday’s strong relief rally, stocks still ended last week lower. The S&P 500 ended the week -2.4%, the Dow was -2.1%, and the NASDAQ was -2.4%. The 10-year U.S. Treasury note yield decreased to 2.928% at Friday’s close versus 3.142% the previous week. Both the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index …
False Start
The equity market rally following the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy decision looked to be a false start after the market gave up the gain the following day and stocks closed lower for the week. The S&P 500 ended the week -0.2%, the Dow was -0.2%, and the NASDAQ was -1.2%. The 10-year U.S. Treasury …
In the Mix
Mixed earnings and anticipation of tighter monetary policy leading up to this week’s Federal Reserve meeting sent stocks down last week. The S&P 500 ended the week -3.3%, the Dow was -2.5%, and the NASDAQ was -3.8%. The 10-year U.S. Treasury note yield increased to 2.938% at Friday’s close versus 2.905% the previous week. …
Unyielding
A relatively good week for corporate earnings was overshadowed by Federal Reserve jawboning pointing to an almost certain 0.50% rate increase at the May Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. The S&P 500 ended the week -2.7%, the Dow was -1.8%, and the NASDAQ was -3.9%. The 10-year U.S. Treasury note yield increased to …
Home Stand
A mixed start to first quarter earnings reporting and two key inflation reports sent equity markets lower last week. The S&P 500 Index ended the week -2.1%, the Dow was -0.8%, and the NASDAQ was -3.0%. The 10-year U.S. Treasury note yield increased to 2.828% at Thursday’s close versus 2.704% the previous week. The …
Moneyball
The Federal Reserve’s plan to aggressively stem inflation pressured equity markets last week. The S&P 500 ended the week -1.2%, the Dow was -0.2%, and the NASDAQ was -3.6%. The 10-year U.S. Treasury note yield increased to 2.704% at Friday’s close versus 2.390% the previous week. The rise in the 10-year Treasury yield returned …
Out Like a Lamb
This week ended the first negative quarter for the equity markets since the onset of COVID which caused a decline in the first quarter of 2020. The S&P 500 Index has produced three consecutive positive weekly returns since the quarter lows in early March. The S&P 500 ended the week +0.1%, the Dow was …
Living with Uncertainty
Equity market investors appear to be learning how to live with higher interest rates and prospects for a drawn-out engagement between Russia and Ukraine. The S&P 500 Index ended the week +1.8%, the Dow was +0.3%, and the NASDAQ was +2.3%. The 10-year U.S. Treasury bond yield increased to 2.488% at Friday’s close versus …
First Hike
Fear may have peaked last week, and investor risk appetite may have been reinvigorated, as the Federal Reserve laid out a clear tightening plan tied to combating high inflation and optimism about the economy. The S&P 500 Index ended the week +6.2%, the Dow was +5.5%, and the NASDAQ was +8.4%. It was the …
Goldilocks
Lots of positives stacked up this past week with the Fed lowering short-term interest rates by 0.25%, a stronger than expected employment report, and continued progress on U.S. – China trade. These along with good third quarter earnings reports pushed the S&P 500 into record territory. The Federal Reserve lowered its short-term target rate …
Earnings Tricks and Fed Treats
The corporate earnings season has so far been less negative than originally anticipated. Of the 199 companies that have reported 3Q earnings, 78% have exceeded expectations, 7% have met expectations, and 15% have reported below expectations. This has improved current earnings estimates for the quarter to a 2.0% decline in year/year earnings on 3.4% …
Liquidity
The equity market declined on Friday afternoon following a report that a Chinese delegation canceled a scheduled trip to visit farms in Montana and Nebraska to return to China early. That news was enough to raise some doubt on the current progress of trade talks between the U.S. and China. Friday’s lower finish left …
Olive Branches
Some small concessions were made in the U.S.— China trade dispute with both sides taking steps to diffuse any further escalation. The U.S. said it would delay a tariff increase on $250 billion worth of Chinese goods from October 1st to October 15th out of respect for the People’s Republic of China celebrating its 70th anniversary. …
Flip Flop
It was a volatile week in the stock and bond markets with each day providing a different catalyst to change market direction. The week started with continued concern over U.S. dollar / Chinese yuan exchange rate and trade/tariff issues. Optimism reigned on Tuesday as the White House announced a delay to some tariffs until …
Whipsaw
Following the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announcement to lower its target range for the Fed Funds Rate by 0.25%, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell stated that the move was a “midcycle adjustment to policy” and that future rate cuts were not a guarantee. Despite the Fed Chairman’s comments, the markets are currently forecasting an …
Decision Point
On Wednesday, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will make a decision on its interest rate target. The current market probabilities are for a reduction of 0.25% which would bring the target range for the Fed Funds Rate to 2.00% to 2.25%. We can attribute most of the stock market tailwind over the past …