Halftime

July 5, 2022

  The S&P 500 Index limped into the end of the quarter on Thursday, then staged a small, late-day rally on the first day of the new quarter ahead of the holiday weekend. The S&P 500 ended the week -2.2%, the Dow was -1.3%, and the NASDAQ was -4.3%. For the half-year ending June 30th, …

Super Market

June 27, 2022

  The S&P 500 Index rallied last week as investors became more comfortable with the Fed’s plan to stem the pace of inflation. The S&P 500 ended the week +6.5%, the Dow was +5.4%, and the NASDAQ was +7.5%. The 10-year U.S. Treasury note yield decreased to 3.138% at Friday’s close versus 3.231% the previous …

Solstice

June 21, 2022

  The S&P 500 Index fell again last week as the Federal Reserve continued to tighten monetary policy. The S&P 500 ended the week -5.7%, the Dow was -4.7%, and the NASDAQ was -4.8%. The 10-year U.S. Treasury note yield increased to 3.231% at Friday’s close versus 3.165% the previous week. The Federal Open Market …

Inflation Concerns Persist

June 13, 2022

  The S&P 500 Index fell sharply to end the week. Investors went on the defensive after the May Consumer Price Index (CPI) reading indicated that most major categories of inflation have not slowed their ascent. The S&P 500 ended the week -5.0%, the Dow was -4.6%, and the NASDAQ was -5.7%. The 10-year U.S. …

Tightening

June 6, 2022

  The S&P 500 Index had a small relapse last week after its big advance the week prior. The S&P 500 ended the week -1.2%, the Dow was -0.8%, and the NASDAQ was -1.0%. The 10-year U.S. Treasury note yield increased to 2.941% at Friday’s close versus 2.743% the previous week. As reflected in the …

Get Out of Town

May 23, 2022

  The S&P 500 Index rallied back from an intra-day decline on Friday that had the Index temporarily down 20% from its peak. The S&P 500 ended the week -3.0%, the Dow was -2.8%, and the NASDAQ was -4.4%. The equity markets have declined for seven consecutive weeks amid concerns over the impact of rising …

Relief Rally

May 16, 2022

  Despite Friday’s strong relief rally, stocks still ended last week lower. The S&P 500 ended the week -2.4%, the Dow was -2.1%, and the NASDAQ was -2.4%. The 10-year U.S. Treasury note yield decreased to 2.928% at Friday’s close versus 3.142% the previous week. Both the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index …

False Start

May 9, 2022

  The equity market rally following the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy decision looked to be a false start after the market gave up the gain the following day and stocks closed lower for the week. The S&P 500 ended the week -0.2%, the Dow was -0.2%, and the NASDAQ was -1.2%. The 10-year U.S. Treasury …

In the Mix

May 2, 2022

  Mixed earnings and anticipation of tighter monetary policy leading up to this week’s Federal Reserve meeting sent stocks down last week. The S&P 500 ended the week -3.3%, the Dow was -2.5%, and the NASDAQ was -3.8%. The 10-year U.S. Treasury note yield increased to 2.938% at Friday’s close versus 2.905% the previous week. …

Political Homestretch

November 2, 2020

  Despite a slew of strong company earnings reports, concerns about an accelerating spread of COVID-19 in both the U.S. and abroad pushed stocks lower last week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 6.5%, the S&P 500 Index declined 5.6%, and the NASDAQ 100 Index declined 5.5%. The earnings reporting season is rolling on and …

Peak Week

October 26, 2020

  The third quarter earnings reporting season peaks this week with 180 companies in the S&P 500 Index scheduled to report earnings. The current third quarter consensus is for earnings to be down 16.7% year-over-year (versus down 18.7% last week and down 21.7%  at the start of earnings season) on a 3.6% decline in revenue. …

Looking Under the Hood

April 13, 2020

  Global equity markets had a strong recovery rally last week as scenarios begin to firm up of when the COVID-19 peaks in various countries and the global economy begins to re-open.  While the social and economic recovery is likely to last several months or longer, the financial markets tend to anticipate outcomes and a …

Waiting on Normal

April 6, 2020

  The equity market gave back some of its recent gains last week, but volatility also decreased which we view as a welcome signal relative to the higher levels of volatility we’ve seen over the past few weeks.  Uncertain timing on a return to normalcy in society and the economy is likely to weigh on …

Positive GDP Surprise

April 29, 2019

  The advance report on First Quarter U.S. Gross Domestic Product (“GDP”) was reported at +3.2%. This was an upside surprise to the 2% widely anticipated by most economists. Part of the surprise was in net trade (exports versus imports) which was refreshing to see given the concern over the U.S.—China trade standoff. Personal consumption …